{"id":5598,"date":"2026-07-15T14:06:39","date_gmt":"2026-07-15T14:06:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/15\/372-large-us-bankruptcies-get-unexpected-credit-market-response\/"},"modified":"2026-07-15T14:06:39","modified_gmt":"2026-07-15T14:06:39","slug":"372-large-us-bankruptcies-get-unexpected-credit-market-response","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/15\/372-large-us-bankruptcies-get-unexpected-credit-market-response\/","title":{"rendered":"372 large US bankruptcies get unexpected credit market response"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Through the first six months of 2026, 372 larger U.S. companies filed for bankruptcy protection, the highest first-half total since 2010, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/market-intelligence\/en\/news-insights\/articles\/2026\/5\/us-corporate-bankruptcies-decline-in-april-to-lowest-monthly-total-in-2026-101580054\">S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence<\/a> reported.<\/p>\n<p>Yet the bond market barely flinched, and a growing pool of private capital moved toward the wreckage with open checkbooks rather than clenched fists.<\/p>\n<p>Distressed-debt investors are treating the filings as a buying opportunity. The disconnect between bankruptcy volume and market calm suggests where credit conditions are heading.<\/p>\n<h2>Credit spreads tighten even as bankruptcy filings climb<\/h2>\n<p>The spread on the five-year CDX (Credit Default Swap Index) North American High Yield index, a key measure of how much extra <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/y\/yield\" rel=\"nofollow\">yield<\/a> investors demand to hold riskier corporate debt, fell to about 304 basis points by the end of June, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/market-intelligence\/en\/news-insights\/articles\/2026\/5\/us-corporate-bankruptcies-decline-in-april-to-lowest-monthly-total-in-2026-101580054\">S&amp;P Global noted<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>That was a sharp retreat from the 406-basis-point level reached in March, when the Iran conflict and concerns about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/tag\/artificial-intelligence\" rel=\"nofollow\">AI<\/a> disruption to software companies briefly unsettled markets, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nb.com\/insights\/fixed-income-investment-outlook-2q-2026\">Neuberger Berman and Guggenheim Investments<\/a> noted in separate outlook reports.<\/p>\n<p>In practical terms, a tightening spread means bond investors grew more comfortable lending money to lower-rated companies over the second quarter, even as distressed firms continued entering court protection.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/market-intelligence\/en\/news-insights\/articles\/2026\/5\/us-corporate-bankruptcies-decline-in-april-to-lowest-monthly-total-in-2026-101580054\">Andrew Glenn<\/a>, managing partner at Glenn Agre Bergman &amp; Fuentes, expects shrinking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/l\/liquidity-market-liquidity\" rel=\"nofollow\">liquidity<\/a> in private credit to drive a wave of court-supervised restructurings.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Once there are withdrawals from private credit funds and market liquidity dries up, you&#8217;re going to see more in-court restructuring activity\u2026What you are going to see as time goes on is less liquidity, more demand for financial and operational restructurings and more in-court activity as a result<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The ICE BofA US High Yield Index option-adjusted spread was near 269 basis points as of mid-July, well below its 20-year average of about 490 basis points, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/BAMLH0A0HYM2\">Federal Reserve Economic Data<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Credit spread behavior has real downstream effects on borrowing costs for auto loans, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/personal-finance\/us-credit-card-debt-1-25-trillion-record-payoff\">credit cards<\/a>, and mortgages, since corporate bond pricing shapes the broader lending environment in which banks operate.<\/p>\n<h2>Industrial and healthcare companies drive the filing surge<\/h2>\n<p>Industrial companies accounted for the largest share of filings through June, with 50 petitions, followed by 35 from consumer discretionary and 26 from healthcare, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfodive.com\/news\/us-corporate-bankruptcies-hover-16-year-high-sp\/825121\/\">according to S&amp;P Global data<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>In June alone, industrials and healthcare each filed at least seven petitions, while the financial sector contributed five.<\/p>\n<p><strong>More Bankruptcy:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/technology\/technology-firm-tpx-communications-files-chapter-11-bankruptcy\"><strong>28-year-old important high-tech firm files Chapter 11 bankruptcy<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/retail\/303-boards-retail-chain-files-chapter-11-bankruptcy\"><strong>Popular sporting goods store chain files Chapter 11 bankruptcy<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/retail\/internet-provider-radiolink-files-chapter-7-bankruptcy-cuts-off-service\"><strong>Internet provider files Chapter 7 bankruptcy, cuts off service<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Small businesses faced even steeper pressure, with 1,663 smaller firms filing for protection during the first half of 2026, a 50% year-over-year jump, bankruptcy services platform <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epiqglobal.com\/en-us\/resource-center\/news\/small-business-filings-increase-50-year-over-year-in-first-half-of-2026\">Epiq AACER confirmed<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.epiqglobal.com\/en-us\/resource-center\/news\/small-business-filings-increase-50-year-over-year-in-first-half-of-2026\">Amy Quackenboss<\/a>, executive director of the American Bankruptcy Institute, attributed the surge to higher borrowing costs, increasing expenses, and geopolitical <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/v\/volatility\" rel=\"nofollow\">volatility<\/a>, which she said are leading more debtors to seek restructuring.<\/p>\n<figure><figcaption>Industrial, healthcare, and small businesses fueled a sharp rise in bankruptcy filings as higher borrowing costs and economic pressures strained companies.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.com\/detail\/photo\/owner-and-waitress-doing-the-accountancy-at-a-royalty-free-image\/2215930985?phrase=company%2520bankruptcy&amp;searchscope=image%252Cfilm&amp;adppopup=true\">Hispanolistic&amp;sol;Getty Images<\/a><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Distressed-debt funds amass $100 billion to buy troubled assets<\/h2>\n<p>Opportunistic, special situations, and distressed-debt funds have collectively amassed more than $100 billion in new capital over the past two years, with the ten largest funds currently raising nearly $50 billion more, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.withintelligence.com\/insights\/private-credit-outlook-2026\/\">according to WithIntelligence<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>That capital is positioned to purchase distressed corporate loans and bonds at steep discounts, often in the range of 60 to 80 cents on the dollar, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/perspectiveonrisk.substack.com\/p\/perspective-on-risk-april-11-2026\">Brian Peters&#8217;s<\/a> industry analyses of recent distressed transactions.<\/p>\n<p>Victor Khosla, founder of Strategic Value Partners, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2026\/04\/03\/insurance-risk-private-credit\">told the Financial Times<\/a> that the current environment represents the largest opportunity for distressed-debt investing since the 2008 financial crisis.<\/p>\n<h2>Payment-in-kind structures may be masking deeper borrower problems<\/h2>\n<p>The gap between headline bankruptcy counts and investor appetite may not be as reassuring as it appears.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>As of the fourth quarter of 2025, about 6.4% of private credit loans carried so-called bad payment-in-kind provisions, under which lenders accepted deferred interest rather than cash because borrowers could not meet their obligations.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The figures come from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lincolninternational.com\/news\/the-lincoln-private-market-index-ends-the-year-with-its-slowest-quarter-of-growth-in-2025\/\">Lincoln International data<\/a> and have more than doubled since 2021, as Lincoln International treats them as a shadow default indicator.<\/p>\n<p>This suggests that real distress in private credit portfolios may run closer to 6%, roughly three times the publicly reported default rate of about 2%.<\/p>\n<h2>Restructuring attorneys expect a second-half wave of large filings<\/h2>\n<p>Glenn described the environment in a May <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/market-intelligence\/en\/news-insights\/articles\/2026\/5\/us-corporate-bankruptcies-decline-in-april-to-lowest-monthly-total-in-2026-101580054\">interview with S&amp;P Global<\/a> as a &#8220;calm before the storm&#8221; ahead of a larger restructuring cycle.<\/p>\n<p>Glenn told S&amp;P Global that macroeconomic factors, including elevated interest rates weighing on highly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/dictionary\/l\/leverage\" rel=\"nofollow\">leveraged<\/a> companies, have not yet led to the next round of major Chapter 11 cases, but he projected significantly more court-supervised restructurings in the second half of the year.<\/p>\n<p>PwC&#8217;s 2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pwc.com\/gx\/en\/industries\/private-equity\/private-credit-survey.html\">global private credit survey<\/a>, which polled more than 120 portfolio managers, reached a similar conclusion.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>PwC described the asset class as entering its first &#8220;test&#8221; as a major asset class, noting that while most managers remain positive about growth, 64% cite borrower defaults and credit losses as an expected drag on 2026 fund performance.<\/p>\n<p>For now, rising bankruptcies and tight credit spreads continue to coexist. Whether that changes depends on how much of the $100 billion in distressed capital gets deployed in the second half of 2026, and how many of the borrowers PwC&#8217;s surveyed managers flagged actually default.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestreet.com\/investing\/leading-energy-company-files-for-bankruptcy-goldenpeaks-brookfield\">Related: Leading energy company files for chapter 11 bankruptcy<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Through the first six months of 2026, 372 larger U.S. companies filed for bankruptcy protection,&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5599,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5598","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5598","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5598"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5598\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5599"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5598"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5598"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thecapitalharbor.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5598"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}